A new framework for ending the Israel–Palestine conflict based on physical separation, a Palestinian state established without negotiation, and a highly original deterrence mechanism designed to minimize violence.
The Tzabar Plan is a proposal for resolving the Israel–Palestinian conflict in the world that exists after October 7. It is a re-conceptualized two-state solution — likely the last version of two states that Israelis might accept, and perhaps the only realistic remaining pathway to Palestinian statehood.
In this plan, Israel annexes the major settlement blocs in the West Bank, relocates the “deep” settlers who live beyond them, and fixes its borders permanently, in every direction. At the same time, it transfers territory from Israel proper to the new State of Palestine (two tracts of mostly empty land, one tripling the size of Gaza, one extending the southern West Bank) so that the new Palestinian state begins life with 110% of the territory Palestinians hold today. All of this happens with no negotiation process and no preconditions. Israel acts unilaterally.
While there are other plans that call for a separation of the two populations into two states, most frameworks have failed to address what happens after Palestinian independence, when rockets and terror attacks are launched at Israel from the new state, most likely from rogue militant cells that its government cannot fully control.
In every earlier version, the default answer was Israeli retaliation, escalation, and another war, which is exactly what happened after the unilateral disengagement from Gaza in 2005. The main contribution of this plan is a mechanism designed to minimize the risk that the situation will devolve that way again: the “land-loss deterrence mechanism”. Unprovoked attacks are met not with airstrikes or incursions, but instead with a published, automatic penalty in land: the buffer zone separating the two states extends deeper into Palestinian territory, by a fixed amount determined by fatality count, with the land effectively returned to nature. Israel annexes none of it. No one gets the land.
Think of it as a bathtub filled to the brim. The Palestinian state is born at its maximum size: nothing it ever does can add to its territory. Likewise, nothing Israel ever does can add to its territory either as its borders are permanently fixed. The only question is whether Palestinian militants drain the tub through unprovoked attacks on Israel. Sustained periods of quiet can refill much of it; and it can never drain below 80% of today's territory — the schedule stops there, permanently, because no formula should be allowed to run to the end of a country.
Parts of this plan are severe, and the document does not pretend otherwise. Its claim is not that it is painless. Its claim is that every other remaining path — ongoing military occupation, re-entering into a trust-based peace process — has been tested and has failed, at a cost now counted in tens of thousands of lives. In a post-Oct 7 and post-Gaza destruction era, this framework offers more to both peoples than any alternative still standing.
The mechanism in one sentence: every Israeli killed in an unprovoked attack costs the State of Palestine five square kilometers of land — fixed, published, automatic, and applied without violence. No one gets the land. The full schedule, its limits, its nuances, and its safeguards are set out in the plan.
Prefer to listen? A 15-minute audio overview of the plan. (Embed the audio file here.)
The map
Proposed borders: annexed blocs, the buffer zone, New Gaza, and SoWeBa. Interactive: zoom and tap any feature.
Start here
The Brief — the full argument in fifteen minutes. If you read one page, read this. (Also available as a PDF.)
The full plan — every provision, the complete schedule, the maps, the objections, and the annexes.
If you follow this conflict closely, start with the Brief; it gets to the mechanism in ninety seconds. If you want the argument from first principles, start with Why Every Other Path Fails. If you want to see how this plays out on the ground, read Jenin, 2030.
The plan
✉️ Stay in touch. Occasional dispatches when the plan or the situation changes — no spam, no schedule. (Embed the Tally or Buttondown signup form here.) To join the working group, challenge the plan, or put it in front of someone who should see it: contact@tzabarplan.org
The post-Oct 7 wars answered every question except the most important one: how can we finally bring durable stability to the region? This site puts something solid squarely in the center of the table — in full, in public, and in detail. Please share it with whoever you think might be interested.
The Tzabar Plan · Last updated July 2026 · The Why Now page is revised as events develop; the plan itself is versioned.
The BriefAudio VersionIntroduction1. Physical Separation and Land Swaps2. Land-Loss Deterrence Mechanism3. Jerusalem4. The Failsafes5. Setting Up for SuccessPaths to AdoptionWhy Now: The July 2026 WindowWhy Every Other Path FailsThe Case for IsraelThe Case for PalestiniansObjectionsFAQAnnexesGet Involved